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Wednesday, December 29, 2010

The Eurozone

With the Greek and Irish bailouts, there always seems to be a whispering about the stability of the Eurozone.


My question for today is what makes the United States different from the Eurozone?


One suggestion offered in the article that piqued my interest in the topic (here) offers the suggestion that federal transfer taxes keep America more homogeneous. In fact, when you look at the data, there is absolutely no correlation between per capita taxes paid to the government vs per capita expenditures received. However, there is a strong negative correlation between income per capita and the ratio of taxes paid vs expenditures received.


While I'm not sure that is the whole picture, it is certain that the US is more homogeneous.


Here is a listing of Eurozone countries by GDP per capita:



Population
Nominal GDP
GDP/capita
491,702
52,449
106668
4,517,758
227,193
50289
16,481,139
792,128
48063
8,356,707
384,908
46060
5,325,115
237,512
44602
10,741,048
468,522
43620
82,062,249
3,346,702
40782
60,090,430
2,112,780
35160
64,105,125
2,112,780
32958
45,853,045
1,460,250
31846
801,622
24,910
31074
11,262,539
329,924
29294
2,053,393
48,477
23608
10,631,800
227,676
21415
412,614
7,449
18053
5,411,062
87,642
16197
328,597,348
12,455,979
37907


Look at that range! The US states range only from Connecticut at 54,397 to Mississippi at 30,103. 


This same divergence is seen in debt to GDP ratios. In the Eurozone, Debt to GDP ranges from 115% for Italy to 14% for Luxembourg. These countries likely differ in their reliance on imports and exports as well. State debt to GDP ratios are all below 20%, although that is because the federal government takes on much of the debt. However, this makes state defaults far less severe because the federal government can bail them out and it is simply a smaller dollar amount.


The Eurozone got this way through centuries of different economic climate and policy. Meanwhile, the US has generally had the same climate and policies throughout the states throughout its history. While all the US states probably need similar treatment, it may be that the eurozone is just too heterogeneous for one currency.





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